There is no good policy for the United States regarding the uprising in Egypt but the Obama Administration may be adopting something close to the worst option. This is its first real international crisis. And it seems to be adopting a policy that, while somewhat balanced, is pushing the Egyptian regime out of power. The situation could not be more dangerous and might be the biggest disaster for the region and Western interests since the Iranian revolution three decades ago.
Experts and news media seem to be overwhelmingly optimistic, just as they generally were in Iran's case. Wishful thinking is to some extent replacing serious analysis. Indeed, the alternative outcome is barely presented: This could lead to an Islamist Egypt, if not now in several years.
My wife is Cuban and I compared Egypt to Cuba. Cubans did not like Batista and got Castro. Egypt does not like Mubarak and will get the Muslim Brotherhood. Obama failed to support the recent demonstrations in Iran, the democratic take over in Honduras and this may prove to be his biggest failure in his current presidency, the fall of Mubarak.
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